Distribution of Transmission Potential During Nonsevere COVID-19 Illness shrestha2020distribution

This study evaluated the transmission potential of COVID-19 by examining viral load over time. Over six weeks, 230 healthcare personnel underwent 528 tests at the Cleveland Clinic. Cycle threshold (Ct) values were obtained using RT-PCR targeting the N gene, and viral loads were calculated. Data were obtained from the combined dataset in the supplementary materials of Challenger et al. BMC Medicine (2022) 20:25 (https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-021-02220-0).

Analytes

swab_SARSCoV2_N_Ct

Cycle threshold (Ct) values were quantified using RT-PCR targeting the N gene in nasopharyngeal swab samples.

exponential for swab_SARSCoV2_N_Ct

Fitted by censored maximum likelihood. The red line is the median individual; the shaded region is the full range of a simulated cohort drawn from the fitted population, so it shows what simulating from this dataset would produce rather than a confidence interval, with dashed lines at the central 95%. Open triangles are non-detects, drawn at the censoring limit and entering the fit as "below this value" rather than being dropped. See the modelling methods for what these estimates do and do not support.

Biomarker: SARS-CoV-2
Specimen: nasopharyngeal swab
Units: cycle threshold
Gene target: N
Participants: 230
Negative samples: 119
Positive samples (not quantifiable): 0
Quantifiable samples: 409
Limit of quantification: unknown
Limit of detection: 40